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Which of these initiatives best fits your investment budget?
Compare three indivisible initiatives using probability-adjusted benefits and first-year net cash.
Example scenario
Editable demonstration inputs, not verified industry benchmarks. Enable JavaScript to calculate your own scenario.
- Available investment budget
- $250,000
- Pricing initiative upfront cash
- $80,000
- Pricing initiative annual cash benefit if successful
- $250,000
- Pricing initiative success probability
- 70 %
- Operations initiative upfront cash
- $150,000
- Operations initiative annual cash benefit if successful
- $300,000
- Operations initiative success probability
- 80 %
- Automation initiative upfront cash
- $100,000
- Automation initiative annual cash benefit if successful
- $180,000
- Automation initiative success probability
- 60 %
Best modeled first-year expected net cash
Example result only, not a forecast or promise.
- Chosen portfolio
- Pricing + Operations
- Portfolio upfront investment
- $230,000
- Budget left uncommitted
- $20,000
What to do with this result
Review dependencies, downside loss and management capacity before approving a portfolio; assumed probabilities do not make benefits certain.
Know what is inside the model.
Planning model, not personalized financial advice. Your inputs remain in your browser.
Calculation method
Expected net = sum(initiative success probability × annual benefit − upfront cash). Enumerate all eight combinations; select the highest expected first-year net with total upfront cost within budget.
Assumptions and limitations
- Example inputs are editable scenarios, not Aryo results or independently verified industry benchmarks.
- Business revenue is not owner income. These scenarios do not predict demand, guarantee earnings or establish a business valuation.