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Is waiting for a better price worth the carrying cost?
Compare immediate liquidation cash with probability-weighted future recovery.
Example scenario
Editable demonstration inputs, not verified industry benchmarks. Enable JavaScript to calculate your own scenario.
- Aged inventory units
- 5,000
- Net liquidation proceeds / unit now
- $12
- Net proceeds / unit if sold later
- $25
- Probability of selling at future price
- 40 %
- Net fallback proceeds / unsold unit
- $5
- Months until future decision
- 6 months
- Holding cash cost / unit / month
- $1
Expected advantage of waiting
Example result only, not a forecast or promise.
- Immediate liquidation cash
- $60,000
- Expected net future cash
- $50,000
- Cash holding cost while waiting
- $15,000
What to do with this result
Reconcile cash recovery separately from accounting write-down; use actual aging and demand evidence by SKU.
Know what is inside the model.
Planning model, not personalized financial advice. Your inputs remain in your browser.
Calculation method
Expected wait proceeds = units × [sale probability × future proceeds + failure probability × fallback − months × monthly holding cost].
Assumptions and limitations
- Example inputs are editable scenarios, not Aryo results or independently verified industry benchmarks.
- Demand, lead times and service levels are scenario inputs. Validate variability, physical constraints and supplier terms before ordering.